Heath explores who can outperform their ADP in 2019.
There is no room to tout guys like Andrew Benintendi
or Juan Soto
. Their ADPs are already very expectant and do not leave room for vast amounts of profit. If you select Beni in Round 2, you do so because of the safety he offers youâ€”not because you think he will be a 40/40 player in 2019. Later on, there is room for profit, though.
So my version of a â€śsleeperâ€ť effort will be focused on outfielders who could severely outperform their draft day cost. Iâ€™ll do my best to quantify my thoughts, but in general I am considering players based on who I can get around the same pick, and who (from the same position) I can draft earlier or later. For instance, why mess around with David Dahl
when I can draft Yasiel Puig
about two rounds later? Puig wonâ€™t qualify as a sleeper for me, but that is the general idea I am operating from. I suppose in economic or financial terms this idea is arbitrage, where I am trying to take advantage of a difference in market price. Let me avoid a higher pick and draft a guy much later who can offer similar (or better) production. So letâ€™s try it out (více...)
(19. 2. 2019, 14:21:06, Fake Teams)
We finish off the hitters with a look at outfield.
Outfield Week continues with my targets!
What a debut season for Soto in 2018! 22 home runs, 70 RBIs, 77 runs, and five steals in just 116 games. Not to mention a .292 average and .923 OPS. This was helped by an impressive 79 walks to 99 strikeouts. Oh, by the way, Soto was only 19 years old! Soto is already touting first round upside and, in all honesty, has a very high floor. Grabbing him in the second round this season is not a reach.
Brantley was a top tier fantasy option in 2014 and 2015. Injuries plagued 2016 and 2017. Brantley regained his mojo last year, posting his best season since his near MVP campaign in 2014. He now moves to the Houston Astros, who have a tendency to get the best out of their players and even take them to the next level. His low strikeout rate and high OBP helps those in points leagues the most, but I can see Brantley posting a stat line similar to what Andrew Benintendi
did last season (více...)
(9. 2. 2019, 05:14:01, Star Tribune)
The Twins had the sixth overall selection in 2015 and went with Tyler Jay
. Boston took Andrew Benintendi
with the next pick (více...)